useR!2019 in Toulouse, France

Salut mes amis! Today I’ve presented my smooth package at the useR!2019 conference in Toulouse, France. This is a nice conference, focused on specific solutions to specific problems. Here, people tend to present functions from their packages (not underlying models, like, for example, at ISF). On one hand, this has its own limitations, but on […]

International Symposium on Forecasting 2019

The ISF2019 took place in Thessaloniki, Greece. This time I presented a spin-off of my research on intermittent demand in retail, entitled as “What about those sweet melons? Using mixture models for demand forecasting in retail”. The idea is quite trivial and simple: use mixture distribution regressions (e.g. logistic and log-normal distributions) in order to […]

SMUG2019

I was recently invited to attend the SMUG2019 conference (SMoothie Users Group), organised by Demand Works company in New York. They asked me to present two topics: State space ARIMA for Supply Chain Forecasting, based on which I have developed a module for Smoothie a couple of years ago, Artificial Intelligence in Business, one of […]

International Symposium on Forecasting 2018

This year I have presented an extension of the research from ISF2017, called “Forecasting intermittent data with complex patterns”. This time we developed the model with “logistic probability”, which allows capturing complex patterns in demand occurrence part of the data. I also tried making the presentation more entertaining and easier to understand by a wider […]

Presentation at ISMS2018

This year I participated the Informs Society for Marketing Science Conference in Philadelphia. I presented a research that I work on together with Victoria Grigorieva, Yana Salihova and Florian Dost. This is an ongoing research, and we are trying to capture the dynamics of ecosystems on the market of mobile devices in order to see, […]

Lecture in HSE, Saint Petersburg

Yesterday I gave a lecture to the master students of Higher School Economics, Saint Petersburg (“Marketing Analytics” programme). This was a very general lecture on “Modern Forecasting”, covering forecasting problems in practice, the solutions to these problems and modern scientific directions in the field. It seems that the lecture was well received and brought up […]

International Symposium on Forecasting 2017

In Cairns, Australia, I have presented the topic from Bath — One for all: forecasting intermittent and non-intermittent demand using one model. It was well received although one of the professors did not understand the main point of the presentation and I could not explain him, why this is important and why the proposed approach […]

Seminar and presentation at Bath University

Last week I have visited Bath University, where Dr. Fotios Petropoulos works. He organised a scientific seminar, where I could present my recent research on topic “One for all: forecasting intermittent and non-intermittent demand using one model“. The presentation was well received and rose several interesting questions from the participants of the seminar, which will […]

19th IIF Workshop presentation

An IIF workshop “Supply Chain Forecasting for Operations” took place at Lancaster University on 28th and 29th of June. I have given a presentation on a topic that John Boylan and I are currently working on. We suggest a universal statistical model, that allows uniting standard methods of forecasting (for example, for fast moving products) […]